Janx 31 points 8 days ago

No source? Some experts are saying an AI crash will happen sooner rather than later...

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Mordikan 5 points 8 days ago

There is so much AI hype and so much anti-AI hype, that I doubt it really will.

For the last 4 years, we have perpetually been 90 days from both the AI market crashing and AI stealing all our jobs at the same time.

My thought is the AI market won't crash because especially in data engineering and devops there is an inherent worth. I think there will be a potential downturn in the volume of cash flowing into perhaps after the big players like OpenAI and Anthropic go to IPO, but the market itself will remain stable. Similar to how the housing bubble crash didn't actually wipe out the housing market (with or without the US govt saving the big players - it still would have survived on its own even if those players did not).

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LilB0kChoy 13 points 8 days ago

My thought is the AI market won't crash because especially in data engineering and devops there is an inherent worth.

Did you see Anthropic’s IPO filing? The company is upside down and there’s so much commingling between 3 or 4 companies that when one goes the rest will topple like dominoes.

What won’t crash are the billionaires at the top. See, they’re going to cash out with piles of money and leave the index fund investors (e.g. the every day person) holding the bag.

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hyperion626 1 point 7 days ago

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LilB0kChoy 0 points 7 days ago

There is no way it doesn't get propped up by the government at this rate.

There absolutely is a way. It starts with people hold their governments and representatives accountable.

The AI companies can and absolutely should fail. AI itself isn’t going anywhere. That Genie is out of the box.

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Mordikan 3 points 7 days ago

"It starts with people hold their governments and representatives accountable".

That is basically a non-answer and doesn't mean anything. The reality is AI is classified a national security priority and therefore has the US govt to prevent it from running out of money.

You could argue that the US has already lost the AI race to China, though. The race isn't won by building the gigantic LLMs. It isn't about 1 million token context windows or 1 trillion parameter models. It's about sentiment. Deepseek and the other distilled models take a novel approach with MoE and strict use case training, but ultimately its the willingness of people/companies to use the AI that results in the win.

US adoption is still the highest world-wide, but China is starting to take the lead on that and have they have stronger willingness to use it.

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hyperion626 0 points 6 days ago

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