4 careers where workers will have to change jobs by 2030 due to AI and shifts in how we shop, according to a McKinsey study

3 years ago by return2ozma to c/workreform

AI and changes in how we shop could force nearly 12 million US workers to change jobs in less than a decade, a McKinsey study found.
Crystal_Shards64 33 points 3 years ago

Maybe I'm reading this incorrectly but this quote stands out to me

'"It's going to change the number of work hours that humans have to do when sometimes machines do some of their work," he said.'

I highly doubt it's going to cut down on total hours worked. It will allow companies to make more profit while keeping workers at the same 8+ hour shifts. Unless something changes through regulation the average person won't see benefits in my opinion. I could be wrong. Heck I would love to be wrong, but I don't see it going that way

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Mikey_donuts 20 points 3 years ago

Time for UBI

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whenigrowup356 5 points 3 years ago

I'd assume that would translate to fewer, more efficient total man-hours, aka fewer people/jobs overall reaching roughly the same level of output as before

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groknull 26 points 3 years ago

For those who want just the tl;dr

They said automation's biggest negative impacts could be on the office support, customer service and sales, and food service professions.

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Janis 5 points 3 years ago

man where would we be without the great minds at mckinseys...

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pdxfed 1 point 3 years ago

Much less collectively addicted to opioids? They jumped at the chance to settle in the hundreds of millions because the damage they did set society to pick up the tab for crime and addition for decades and paved the way for fentanyl death surge we're in the throes of.

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Blaze 1 point 3 years ago

Thanks. Seems reasonable

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crypticthree 8 points 3 years ago

"The glass-half-empty version is that the people who are most vulnerable to some of these shifts are some of the lower-paid folks in the economy," he said, adding, "The glass-half-full version is if we're actually able to transition them through re-skilling, etc., then they could be taking on roles that actually have higher incomes. If we can make the labor market work by enabling these transitions, it's actually all for the good."

The half full narrative is both naive and unrealistic. Even if lower paid people universally get paid more landlords and food providers will just raise prices because they can. The last three years proved that.

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ThirdNerd 3 points 3 years ago
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marche_ck 2 points 3 years ago

True. But I also wouldn't be as optimistic.

My first exposure with this is during my call centre days pre pandemic. Companies are increasingly trying to find ways replacing agents with chatbots, most notably, in my case at least, China. The cases from China I dealt with usually starts with them requesting a human agent.

I guess probably because chatbots sux.

But the cost savings are just too enticing, and I do think that the push for chatbots will continue, even if it means service quality decline. Customers will be screwed.

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workreform
workreform

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A place to discuss positive changes that can make work more equitable, and to vent about current practices. We are NOT against work; we just want the fruits of our labor to be recognized better.

Our Philosophies:

  • All workers must be paid a living wage for their labor.
  • Income inequality is the main cause of lower living standards.
  • Workers must join together and fight back for what is rightfully theirs.
  • We must not be divided and conquered. Workers gain the most when they focus on unifying issues.

Our Goals

  • Higher wages for underpaid workers.
  • Better worker representation, including but not limited to unions.
  • Better and fewer working hours.
  • Stimulating a massive wave of worker organizing in the United States and beyond.
  • Organizing and supporting political causes and campaigns that put workers first.

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