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HulkSmashBurgers 50 points 7 months ago

It's super messed up but If they don't pass anything that'd still be an improvement compared to congress now.

I really hope they do more than nothing though.

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panda_abyss 39 points 7 months ago

If they win and don’t loudly and publicly start undoing shit then voter turnout will be abysmal in 2028 and they’ll lose everything again.

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18107 23 points 7 months ago

The Ratchet Effect: Republicans move to the right, Democrats block movement to the left

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FooBarrington 8 points 7 months ago

Just according to Keikaku!

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Admax 8 points 7 months ago

Translator note : Keikaku = plan

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possumparty 6 points 7 months ago

yeah but they'll make a lot of money fundraising off of it which is their one true goal

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crazycraw 10 points 7 months ago

they are the ones that peacefully handed over the keys. it's not turtles but bankrolled politicians all the wayyy ddooowwwwnnnnnnn.

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kittenzrulz123 43 points 7 months ago

Not only will they not pass anything even remotely progressive they will completely fail to prosecute anyone who committed a crime, fail to revert any of the damage, and will beg for forgiveness from the right by offering infinite concessions

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UnderpantsWeevil 19 points 7 months ago

More likely than not, they'll become complicit in much of the Republican criminal enterprise by inertia. Then, their inability to roll back any of the deeply unpopular Republican positions will tank their own popularity. And finally, Republicans will come roaring back into office to be the Enthusiastic Fascist Party rather than the Reluctant Fascist Party.

But hey, DON'T SAY ANY OF THIS TOO LOUDLY. If people hear you casting dispersion on the liberal party, they might become sad. And if they become sad, they might not Vote Blue No Matter Who. And if they don't Vote Blue, Republicans will win. And then Republican Fascism will be YOUR FAULT!

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possumparty 11 points 7 months ago

I started tagging peoples usernames with different levels of shitlib from like baby shitlib to ultra shitlib and holy fuck do those people comment a lot. it's basically a wall of green usertags on basically every political post.

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kittenzrulz123 10 points 7 months ago

People on .world hate when you say anything negative about libs or reactionaries, I reccomend joining us over on dbzer0 :3

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UnderpantsWeevil 4 points 7 months ago

I mean, I see you guys posting from here. And I'll admit, after my experience with Hexbear, I'd rather be in the shitlib instance heckling my leftism with impunity than in the leftist instance getting yelled at / banned by the admins for defending DSA or whatever.

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switcheroo 28 points 7 months ago

I look forward to hearing all their "olive branching" and trying to reach across the aisle and proceed to GET NOTHING DONE WHILE STILL MANAGING TO SUCK OFF THE PEDO PROTECTOR PARTY.

We do not want ANY olive branches. They proved who they are. Everything they ask for needs to be shot down immediately (aka vote no), just like they always do. Put them in the corner, shame every one of them that keeps their job.

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geneva_convenience 25 points 7 months ago

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corsicanguppy -10 points 7 months ago

2 years to find a non-genocidal candidate WHO CAN WIN.

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BrainInABox 5 points 7 months ago

As if ability to win has been a major concern for the last decade of DNC candidates

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Nalivai -7 points 7 months ago

Whether you want to admit it or not, Biden was actually the best candidate strategically, which was proven right. It says more about the US people that we all want to believe.

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geneva_convenience 5 points 7 months ago

Damn. Well at least the pro-genocide DNC candidate won.

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the_crotch 10 points 7 months ago

They proved who they are.

So did the Democrats. Over and over again. You're not going to get anything you're asking for and you're delusional if you expect otherwise. Their job is to calm people down so we can ratchet towards fascism again in a few years.

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nova_ad_vitum 9 points 7 months ago

There are a lot of Democrats that are not in any way progressive. For domestic issues there will always be a few that the GOP can count on to dissent and break the Democrat majority. For isreal-related there will be dozens beholden to AIPAC who will vote however the Israeli government wants.

This is the secondary danger of Trump being terrible: democratic party doesn't have to actually change or improve to win. They just have to exist.

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TrollTrollrolllol 5 points 7 months ago

They pulled the olive branch from the dime, you better not offer up another fucking olive branch Dems. (but we all know you will because you still think unhinged MAGA voters will somehow come around)

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7101334 3 points 7 months ago

(but we all know you will because you still think unhinged MAGA voters will somehow come around)

That's not why. Not really. It's because leftwing populism is contrary to the desires of the oligarchs (campaign donors / etc) who own them, while rightwing populism is either acceptable or more often actually beneficial.

Republican / Democrat is offense / defense for the same team owners.

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TrollTrollrolllol 4 points 7 months ago

Controlled opposition is the term

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7101334 0 points 7 months ago

Controlled opposition is AOC / Bernie / increasingly-looking-like Zohran. Most Dems don't even pretend to be effective opposition, unless you're 50+ and think a strongly worded letter counts as opposition.

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Arcadeep 2 points 7 months ago

Anything less than burning through the Epstein list and arresting every single one of them, while making the biggest effort they can to undo everything that's happened during the Trump terms should not be accepted

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Wispy2891 28 points 7 months ago

I Just want to point out that those graphs are from a betting site and not some reputable survey

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DreamlandLividity 6 points 7 months ago

Honestly, for many things, betting sites are more reliable. But not for elections.

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geneva_convenience 2 points 7 months ago

I trust the betting sites and the surveys about equally.

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suicidaleggroll 27 points 7 months ago

I'll take "fail to pass anything progressive" over "actively try to destroy the country with every bill" any day.

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UnderpantsWeevil 23 points 7 months ago

This is why Republicans get free rein to actively destroy the country every four years.

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mycodesucks 1 point 7 months ago

Could just stop letting them win altogether and just support progressive candidates in primaries, but I got sick of explaining this and just left the country. I'll be back if/when people figure out "let the republicans win" is not "fixing the democrats".

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UnderpantsWeevil 9 points 7 months ago

Could just stop letting them win altogether

I don't think this is a question of "letting them win". Ds and Rs are the two wings of Capital. And like any good capitalist enterprise, the underlings must be made to fight it out to exhaustion in order for the master to maintain control.

If Dems ever actually obtained an FDR-style enduring majority, the capital class would have to bifricate the party in order to keep any populist movements held in check one against the other.

I got sick of explaining this and just left the country

Given what's been going down in damned near every major city in the country with ICE, I can hardly blame you. America's going to be drowning in blood before too long if shit keeps up the way it has been going. We're already treating civilians in Minneapolis like they're Turks or Egyptians. How long until we start treating them like Iraqis or Afghanis... or Iranians or Gazans?

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Pieisawesome 14 points 7 months ago

This is a screenshot of a betting app. You can easily influence these numbers with large bets. This is just viral marketing masquerading as hopium

It’s not actually a poll or anything real…

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ji59 -2 points 7 months ago

Except these markets were usually more accurate then polls. Don't get me wrong, I hate them and I laughed at people betting that Trump would receive more votes. But the market was right, not the polls.

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UnderpantsWeevil 5 points 7 months ago

Except these markets were usually more accurate then polls.

What Good Are Prediction Markets If Nobody Can Agree on What Happened? Polymarket’s epistemic trap

(archive.is)

To avoid submitting entirely to the logic of prediction markets (one of the many challenges facing the political media in the coming year, I think), we should be clear that this isn’t really an argument about what happened. Rather, the sheer weirdness of what actually ended up happening — and the haze of uncertainty and mis- and disinformation that surrounded it, including from principal actors — overcame the predictive powers of whoever had written Polymarket’s rules in the first place.

The fundamental problem with any "predictive" system is that once you can generate a financial return on a result, you have a financial incentive to influence the result. Consequently, a betting app that allows you to reap an enormous windfall by betting contrary to the current trend will produce bad-faith actors willing to realize the results in defiance of the democratic system.

Imagine, hypothetically, if everyone participating in the Brooks Brothers Riot had bets outstanding on the way Florida's EC votes would be awarded. Or, even more sinister, imagine a Supreme Court Justice betting on the results of a SC decision.

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ji59 1 point 7 months ago

Your comment is well written, but completely unrelated. I said the prediction markets are more accurate then polls (I even found a paper for you), and you reply with an article about "How sometimes it's hard to determine a result of a bet", which isn't applyable here, since election results are well defined. You then continue to rant about predictive markets, but nothing about their accuracy. And BTW, I agree with you.

If I'm wrong, could you please clarify, how their accuracy is connected to their morality?

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UnderpantsWeevil 3 points 7 months ago

I said the prediction markets are more accurate then polls (I even found a paper for you)

When you have people with a finger on the scale making the bets, of course they will be

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DarrinBrunner 14 points 7 months ago

They won't push past the line of "normalcy" which is the same useless line we crossed on the way here. Fucking hell.

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KoboldCoterie 21 points 7 months ago

If they don't impeach and prosecute with impunity, the whole effort is wasted. Everyone of relevance to the current administration needs to end up in jail by 2028. That's what we're voting for in November.

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Asafum 4 points 7 months ago

They could impeach, but there is no universe where he gets convicted in the Senate. They won't ever have enough votes for that. He could literally rape and murder a child on live TV and Republicans would just say "ehh, they were probably a liberal anyway so they deserve it."

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SinningStromgald 3 points 7 months ago

I'd say there is 99% chance they fuck up at every opportunity.

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UnderpantsWeevil 3 points 7 months ago

They won’t push past the line of “normalcy”

It might not be an issue if the sitting party refuses to release the reins of power.

So much of the current political system works because the parties are joined at the hip. But as Trump leads the federal government into increasingly fascist forms, the leadership demonstrates itself significantly less willing to just go-along get-along with the historic Reagan Era neoliberal order.

Why relinquish your Congressional majority if Chuck Schumer and Hakeem Jeffries will let you keep it? Why abide by the legislative branch at all if you've got Palantir running the Treasury and Google/Microsoft running the Pentagon?

Even in bright blue states like Minnesota, the response to outright fascist takeover at the highest levels of government is to raise your fist in defiance and then... give up on your reelection campaign for governor.

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Alberat 10 points 7 months ago

the repubs have drawn us into the last three wars. the head of the repubs is joking about running a third term. he's sending federal agents into cities. he's turning other countries away from the dollar.

the last dem presidents might be too friendly with corporations, but it's them or losing America.

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AntonioAndolini 10 points 7 months ago

The Democrats are losers. They will never do anything. Every opportunity that they have is wasted. Don't expect them to do anything. All those old 80 year Dems are just sitting on a pile of money, they don't give a fuck about anything the right does

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7101334 5 points 7 months ago

What do you mean?! They allow us to pretend our country is merely dysfunctional instead of nakedly evil, thereby absolving us of any serious mandate to take action to protect our fellow man!

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quoll 2 points 7 months ago

some fuckstick will appear that blocks any kinda of meaningful progress, same story from lieberman to manchin, rinse and repeat

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TropicalDingdong 5 points 7 months ago

Has anyone back tested polymarket?

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Ghostie 4 points 7 months ago
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phoenixz 4 points 7 months ago

Can't wait to see the "whaaaaaat??" faces when they either notice that there won't be any elections, or if they are held, that they will massively lose them because of the wave of fraud from Republicans

Seriously, anyone believing that there will be a shit in power this November without a civil war type thing in between is dreaming

The fascists have power, they won't let go without a lot of blood (from others of course, the cowards aren't going to fight it themselves, doh)

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geneva_convenience 11 points 7 months ago

Democrats are still led by Chuck Schumer and Hakeem Jeffries. There's nothing to worry about for the establishment.

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usualsuspect191 4 points 7 months ago

Winning by default and then thinking you must be doing the right thing

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UnderpantsWeevil 3 points 7 months ago

UK Labour in a nutshell

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MrSulu 3 points 7 months ago

Until we have a meaningful difference between Red and Blue, it will be more bullshit for longer. Let's have a clear-out and swing away from ultrconservatism like NY has. Please!

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mavu 3 points 7 months ago

what's the polymarket bet sorry, "prediction" for "there is not going to be an election in november"

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rumba 3 points 7 months ago

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zzz711 3 points 7 months ago

Even if the Dems do get control of the Senate there's still the matter of the filibuster unless they have 60+ seats which seems unlikely. Of course they could do away with the filibuster, but that also seems unlikely.

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Rolder 2 points 7 months ago

They wouldn’t be able to unless they got a supermajority, cause Trump would still have the veto

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Iceman 2 points 7 months ago

Presidental Veto.

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odama626 2 points 7 months ago

If there is an election are you ready for the hand wringing?

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starik 2 points 7 months ago

The main way they won’t pass anything is by not having a president who will sign their bills into law, Bae. Elections matter.

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pyre 1 point 7 months ago

the senate could be 98 Dems to 2 Republicans and the Dems would still go "they're not letting us pass anything that would help you 🤷"

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Maggoty 1 point 7 months ago

They need 2/3rds to override a Veto. In opposition it's going to be much more about putting the brakes on Trump. Anyone publicly expecting forward movement on progressive goals without a progressive president is not speaking in good faith.

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h4arts 1 point 7 months ago

still no backbone, probably

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Godric 1 point 7 months ago

AOC wouldn't mock that guy for being too stupid to understand what a veto is :(

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Jhex 1 point 7 months ago

In fairness, the Dems wouldn't even try it

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DupaCycki 0 points 7 months ago

Can't wait to see how they fail to do absolutely anything other than help the so-called opposite side.

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paultimate14 0 points 7 months ago

Woah what a productive and useful take to have. Thank you!

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thanks for using Leebra!

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