'Absolutely Crazy': Acceleration of Climate Collapse Feared as Temps in Antarctic 20°C Higher Than Normal | Common Dreams

2 days ago by cm0002 to c/environment

Climate scientists warn of unprecedented Antarctic heatwave, with temperatures 20C above normal. Loss of sea ice threatens marine life and penguins.

Climate scientists are sounding the alarm after an unprecedented heatwave hit Antarctica this month and delivered temperatures 20°C higher than normal.

According to a Friday report in The Guardian, temperatures at Antarctica's Trinity Peninsula this month hit peaks of over 15°C, even though it is the start of winter when ice typically expands on the continent. The prior record June temperature at the peninsula, 13.3°C, was set in 1998.

After weeks of above-average temperatures, scientists noticed that an area of sea ice that typically forms in the region—one roughly the size of France—was missing.

"It’s depressing,” Will Hobbs, an Antarctic sea ice expert at the University of Tasmania, told The Guardian. "It is remarkable that we are in June and there is no sea ice there."

Hobbs also predicted that the loss of sea ice is likely permanent at this point given the trajectory of global temperature changes.

Peter Fretwell, a scientist at the British Antarctic Survey, explained to the newspaper that the loss of sea ice poses a serious threat to penguin populations.

"Sea ice is forming too late and breaking up too early," Fretwell explained. "It leads to reduced breeding success and longer trips to moulting grounds."

In a separate interview with The Guardian last week, Raúl Cordero, a climate professor at the University of Groningen, expressed astonishment at the record-breaking Antarctic heat.

“This is absolutely crazy,” Cordero said. "That is a huge anomaly.”

Luis Muñoz, a Chilean glaciologist, told the newspaper he was shocked to step outside at King George's Island, located just north of Trinity Peninsula, and seeing the ground uncovered by snow.

"The temperatures here went very high so everything outside melted,” Muñoz explained. “Usually there is 20 centimeters of snow and a lot of ice on the ground at this time.”

Taking stock of the bigger picture, the newspaper reported that scientists are now fearful that some of the biggest glaciers in the region of the peninsula have now "past a tipping point" that could "push up global sea levels by four meters."

Such a rise in global sea levels would be unprecedented. Scientists estimate that global sea levels have risen by between 21 and 24 centimeters since 1880.

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Paragone -3 points 2 days ago

Not to worry, though: this evidence won't falsify any climate-model held valid by consensus:

consensus is itself the only validity that matters!

< bitterness >

NONE of the consensus-models match the data, from what i've read.

That's pseudoscience/politics, not science.

Sabine Hossenfelder ( who sometimes is right ) pointed-out that all the more-extreme-than-consensus models were pruned-out/defunded..

making it impossible to match the later-produced data.

Politics isn't capable of surviving Natural Selection, aka The Great Filter.

Our unconscious choice, though..

at least our species' epitaph will be "important".

idiocy.

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marxismtomorrow 5 points 2 days ago

In no particular order:

Sabine Hossenfelder

Is a far-right German physicist who believes trans people are just mentally ill fad chasers, consciousness isn't real, free will doesn't exist, and some races are less capable than others.

She is not an expert in any field except particle physics, and while that's certainly important she isn't exactly smart enough to extend that to any other science.

this evidence won’t falsify any climate-model held valid by consensus:

Climate Models aren't held valid by consensus, they're held valid by variance-accounted results.

NONE of the consensus-models match the data, from what i’ve read.

You're partially right here, a minority of climate models from the 1970s-1990s were too conservative to be accurate. In a meta study debunking this far-right claim that you're thoughtlessly parroting and weirdly pretending you personally came up with, 14 of the 17 models reviewed from the 1970s-1990s were accurate within the variance listed in the model.

Generally speaking all papers on climate so far have proven to be too conservative and not panic-inducing enough. We are at the high end or above the high end projections, on older models. Because instead of growing our climate catastrophe at a static rate, we decided to grow it at an exponential rate.

Politics isn’t capable of surviving Natural Selection, aka The Great Filter.

Politics will always be around, because unlike what you people (derogatory) think, Free Will exists and we're not in a solely deterministic universe. So it will survive the Great Filter if we can. Which will depend on you people (derogatory) correcting yourselves and stop pretending intelligence in one field is intelligence in general.

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NocturnalMorning 3 points 2 days ago

What are you even talking about? My wife does climate mitigation research, and she uses tons of different climate models with her data. This is just nonsense.

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Knoxvomica 2 points 2 days ago

WHAT in the fuck are you saying here? Is this an AI hallucination?

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M137 2 points 2 days ago

You need professional help.

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