China Is About To Pop The AI Bubble

a month ago by ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆ to c/technology

YouTubessa voit nauttia parhaista videoista ja musiikista, ladata alkuperäistä sisältöä ja jakaa kaiken ystäviesi, perheesi ja koko maailman kanssa.
Darkcoffee 65 points a month ago

Do it. I'm done with all the bullshit.

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SoupBrick 28 points a month ago

The sooner it happens, the less damage there will be.

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Sparrow_1029 43 points a month ago

TLDW:

  • China is good at compressing the existing models by stealing the answers they give you to make models that have equivalent performance that are way cheaper (plagiarism)
  • shares a bunch of clips of Ed Zitron repeating a lot of the things he said over the last six months about there not being a path to profitability for American AI companies
  • the bond market looks similar to how it did back before 2008
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yogthos 57 points a month ago

It's worth noting that the whole China is distilling our glorious models narrative is largely nonsense. First of all, everybody distills, so it's not like it's unique to Chinese companies. Second, most of actual research that's published is now coming out of China.

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Viceversa -56 points a month ago

You're from .ml, of course.

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yogthos 46 points a month ago

That's an amazing counter point, peak .world intellect on display as always.

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Nonconfrontational 30 points a month ago

And where do you think you are, lmao?

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Viceversa -26 points a month ago

On Lemmy as a federation of independent servers.

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silentjohn 26 points a month ago

Why do ya'll always ad hominem our instance the moment somebody gives a different perspective? Like, honestly... lmfao

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Nonconfrontational 22 points a month ago

It's easier for their world view if they don't see us as actual people with opinions.

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BlameTheAntifa 11 points a month ago path: 0 24780232 24780433 24783261 24798961, hotness: undefined, score: 11, children: 1
Viceversa -9 points a month ago

Are we playing with tags now? Ok

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chortle_tortle 40 points a month ago

(plagiarism)

In AI?? How dare!

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Sparrow_1029 6 points a month ago

HOW DARE INDEED ha thanks for the chortle 😂

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HiddenLayer555 18 points a month ago

China is good at compressing the existing models by stealing the answers they give you to make models that have equivalent performance that are way cheaper (plagiarism)

Lol plagerism is when they take your shitty product and actually make it better apparently. Begs the question why China manages to succeed at this when Western companies that own the original product can't. You'd think they'd always be one step ahead of those damn plagerising Chinese scum or at least would be able to do the exact same thing China does.

Also if you're calling plagerism on this I'm calling plagerism on all of AI. You can't accept any generative AI while simultaneously pearl clutching when someone else plagerises your country's AI. So pick one. Either we ban all AI for plagerising all of humanity or we don't give a shit when one AI company plagerises another.

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Sparrow_1029 9 points a month ago

I didn't really intend "plagiarism" to convey my opinion (which is that the AI companies can get fucked), but more as a neutral term to mean Chinese companies are copying to make cheaper models, as asserted by the video

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HiddenLayer555 4 points a month ago

Fair enough, I apologise for jumping to conclusions then.

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SocialistVibes01 20 points a month ago path: 0 24785965, hotness: undefined, score: 20, children: 2
yogthos 17 points a month ago

love to see the reverse brain drain

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anarchy79 1 point a month ago

TFW China is the reasonable one...

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ICastFist 20 points a month ago

"They don't have anything for hypergrowth anymore. They don't have the next iphone, the next google search, they don't have anything, they're completely out of ideas" - Ed Zitron

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Fancy_Gecko 11 points a month ago

please do

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tracyspcy 10 points a month ago

When someone watch it , pls share how china is going to pop the bubble

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yogthos 42 points a month ago

TLDW: American companies spend insane amounts of money and have no path towards profitability, and Chinese companies are spending a tiny fraction of that to deliver a product that's mostly as good. On top of that, countries and companies are uncomfortable relying on closed models. So, Chinese providers offering open models at far lower rates mean they're quickly taking over the market. And it turns out that simply having the best model isn't really the most important thing. If a cheaper model can do the work then there's no point paying order of magnitude for a more capable one.

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SineSwiper 14 points a month ago

TLDR: OSS local model good, overpriced cloud-only model bad.

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tracyspcy 10 points a month ago

Oh got it. Thank you

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666dollarfootlong 9 points a month ago

And the video points out that the reason AI has trouble getting profitable is because it doesn't just work like how tech "traditionally" works: software pretty much only has development costs, and after that copying and selling infinite copies of the product is pretty much free, where as AI not only has development costs, but it also costs a ton to provide outputs to the customers.

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tracyspcy 5 points a month ago

So the future belongs to open source local models?

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NahMarcas 9 points a month ago

Aaaaaaany moment now

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anarchy79 0 points a month ago

This shit ain't ever going away. The genie is out of the bottle.

We're just going through the IT bubble from the 90s. Trust me, it will rebound.

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