NOAA Issues Extraordinary El Niño Update As Pacific Heat Reaches +10°C Below The Surface

5 days ago by eleitl to c/collapse

NOAA now gives a 69% chance the 2026 El Niño exceeds every event since 1950, as subsurface Pacific heat anomalies reach an extreme +10°C.

cyberfae 7 points 5 days ago

This isn't a reputable website. If you look at their about section you'll see that they focus on alien conspiracy theories.

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eleitl 12 points 5 days ago

At the bottom of the article

Sources:

Official NOAA update: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/...

NOAA Official RONI Outlook and Strength Forecast: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/...

NOAA Climate Prediction Center, El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Diagnostic Discussion, issued August 13, 2026. The update confirms El Niño is strengthening, reports subsurface temperature anomalies reaching +10.0°C, gives a greater than 90% chance of a very strong event during autumn and winter 2026 to 2027, and a 69% chance that October to December exceeds all previous El Niño events in the RONI record dating back to 1950.

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cyberfae 10 points 5 days ago

You probably should have linked these directly, or found a better article. If I see an about page on a news source peddling conspiracy theories, I'm less inclined to waste my time reading the article.

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eleitl 5 points 5 days ago

This article was posted on /r/collapse by a degreed climatologist I trust. There are a lot of sites like e.g. zerohedge that post bona fide articles along with stanniol hattery. If you are aware of a better article, feel free to post it.

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LucySchmoocy 4 points 4 days ago

Your comment is interesting to me. This isn't really a place where 'waste of time' articles are posted. And you've taken the time to wag your finger at OP, and look at the credentials of the website, but not look at the article itself. I'm not saying that to criticize, rather it makes me think about biases (that I have been looking at in myself).

We are in a world with overwhelming amounts of information, so that kind of vetting can make sense. But it also seems like a kind of information absolutism, where someone who believes in aliens can't be right about anything. The flip side being that someone with must be right about everything, even when it's a topic outside of their expertise. And the actual information seems peripheral to the trust in the source. OP found this through a source they trust, and I'm not saying that is a bad thing. I guess I'm just trying to strip away my own biases and use critical thinking with a more open mind.

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Malyca 2 points 5 days ago

It's a good article imo, worth the read

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