Week 8 c/cfb Poll

3 years ago by g0d0fm15ch13f to c/cfb

Make sure that you haven't repeated any teams! Honor system 1 ballot per voter per week (I don't want to collect email addresses to limit it on my end)

Losers exposed, winners relieved. Submit your ballot so we can make sense of it all. Or don't I'm a mod not a cop.

MaroonMage 8 points 3 years ago

My poll this week. Computer poll, resume-based, so your name don't matter, your "advanced stats" don't matter, only thing that matters is who you beat and who they beat:

  1. Oklahoma Sooners (LW: 1)
  2. Florida State Seminoles (LW: 5)
  3. Washington Huskies (LW: 6)
  4. North Carolina Tar Heels (LW: 9)
  5. Texas Longhorns (LW: 4)
  6. Michigan Wolverines (LW: 8)
  7. Ohio State Buckeyes (LW: 2)
  8. Penn State Nittany Lions (LW: 3)
  9. James Madison Dukes (LW: 18)
  10. Iowa Hawkeyes (LW: 23)
  11. Alabama Crimson Tide (LW: 7)
  12. Ole Miss Rebels (LW: 19)
  13. Liberty Flames (LW: 22)
  14. Air Force Falcons (LW: NR)
  15. Oregon State Beavers (LW: NR)
  16. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (LW: NR)
  17. Utah Utes (LW: 15)
  18. Georgia Bulldogs (LW: 11)
  19. Missouri Tigers (LW: NR)
  20. Louisville Cardinals (LW: 10)
  21. Duke Blue Devils (LW: NR)
  22. LSU Tigers (LW: 24)
  23. Wisconsin Badgers (LW: 13)
  24. USC Trojans (LW: 17)
  25. Oregon Ducks (LW: 12)
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Mayonnaise 4 points 3 years ago

I love this poll.

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merikus 6 points 3 years ago

Just voted for the first time. I based it on the AP Poll but made a number of changes based on vibes. Basically when it went below the top ten it started feeling like a crapshoot, though.

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g0d0fm15ch13f 5 points 3 years ago

I've said it before and I'll say it again, vibes are a very real thing in cfb.

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ToasterOverlord 5 points 3 years ago

My ballot. Computer poll. Very glad the good guys are back in the #1 spot (and by a long way, apparently). Still some weirdness from the bye week (e.g. Alabama ahead of Texas) but that should straighten out next week.

::: spoiler Full ranking: | Rank | Change | Team | Record | Points | | ---: | :---: | :--- | :--- | :--- | | 1 | +1 | Michigan | 7-0 | 523 | | 2 | +4 | Notre Dame | 6-2 | 471 | | 3 | +3 | Florida State | 6-0 | 454 | | 4 | -3 | Oklahoma | 6-0 | 438 | | 5 | -1 | USC | 6-1 | 427 | | 6 | +2 | Georgia | 7-0 | 426 | | 7 | -2 | Alabama | 6-1 | 422 | | 8 | +2 | Washington | 6-0 | 419 | | 9 | -6 | Texas | 5-1 | 416 | | T10 | +8 | Ohio State | 6-0 | 393 | | T10 | -1 | Texas A&M | 4-3 | 393 | | 12 | +5 | Penn State | 6-0 | 392 | | 13 | -1 | Oregon State | 6-1 | 387 | | 14 | - | North Carolina | 6-0 | 380 | | 15 | -4 | Louisville | 6-1 | 378 | | 16 | -3 | Oregon | 5-1 | 375 | | 17 | +6 | LSU | 5-2 | 368 | | 18 | -4 | Maryland | 5-2 | 367 | | 19 | +2 | Iowa | 6-1 | 362 | | 20 | +20 | Arizona | 4-3 | 360 | | 21 | +3 | Duke | 5-1 | 358 | | 22 | +10 | TCU | 4-3 | 353 | | 23 | -5 | Fresno State | 6-1 | 352 | | 24 | -2 | Florida | 5-2 | 346 | | 25 | +10 | Missouri | 6-1 | 339 | | 26 | -6 | Texas Tech | 3-4 | 335 | | 27 | -3 | Colorado | 4-3 | 334 | | 28 | +1 | Rutgers | 5-2 | 332 | | 29 | -2 | Kansas | 5-2 | 330 | | 30 | +7 | Tennessee | 5-1 | 326 | | 31 | +3 | Liberty | 6-0 | 325 | | 32 | +10 | Virginia Tech | 3-4 | 324 | | 33 | -5 | Wisconsin | 4-2 | 323 | | 34 | -20 | Ole Miss | 5-1 | 320 | | 35 | -9 | Kentucky | 5-2 | 319 | | 36 | +2 | Miami (OH) | 6-1 | 315 | | 37 | +23 | Iowa State | 4-3 | 307 | | 38 | +4 | Toledo | 6-1 | 306 | | 39 | -6 | Ohio | 5-2 | 304 | | T40 | +22 | Kansas State | 4-2 | 303 | | T40 | - | Miami (FL) | 4-2 | 303 | | 42 | +4 | Arkansas | 2-5 | 298 | | T43 | +20 | Utah | 5-1 | 296 | | T43 | +14 | Troy | 5-2 | 296 | | 45 | -1 | Texas State | 5-2 | 293 | | T46 | +6 | Air Force | 6-0 | 288 | | T46 | -15 | Purdue | 2-5 | 288 | | 48 | +5 | Northern Illinois | 3-4 | 287 | | 49 | +1 | UCLA | 4-2 | 286 | | 50 | -20 | Clemson | 4-2 | 277 | | 51 | +2 | Louisiana Tech | 3-5 | 276 | | 52 | +13 | Illinois | 3-4 | 275 | | 53 | - | California | 3-4 | 273 | | 54 | +5 | Wyoming | 5-2 | 271 | | T55 | -5 | Jacksonville State | 5-2 | 270 | | T55 | +2 | NC State | 4-3 | 270 | | 57 | -13 | Syracuse | 4-3 | 269 | | 58 | +10 | New Mexico State | 4-3 | 267 | | 59 | -24 | South Alabama | 3-3 | 266 | | 60 | +12 | West Virginia | 4-2 | 264 | | 61 | +22 | JMU | 6-0 | 263 | | 62 | -24 | Nebraska | 3-3 | 262 | | 63 | - | Vanderbilt | 2-6 | 259 | | T64 | +21 | UNLV | 5-1 | 258 | | T64 | -16 | Washington State | 4-2 | 258 | | T66 | +24 | SMU | 4-2 | 257 | | T66 | +19 | UTSA | 3-3 | 257 | | T68 | +24 | Oklahoma State | 4-2 | 254 | | T68 | -3 | Utah State | 3-4 | 254 | | 70 | +13 | Tulane | 5-1 | 252 | | T71 | +17 | Eastern Michigan | 4-3 | 250 | | T71 | +18 | Houston | 3-3 | 250 | | 73 | -27 | Georgia Tech | 3-3 | 247 | | T74 | +6 | Boise State | 3-4 | 246 | | T74 | +35 | Pittsburgh | 2-4 | 246 | | 76 | -27 | UCF | 3-3 | 245 | | 77 | +18 | Georgia State | 5-1 | 244 | | 78 | -13 | Auburn | 3-3 | 242 | | 79 | -3 | Memphis | 4-2 | 240 | | T80 | -27 | Minnesota | 3-3 | 239 | | T80 | +1 | Wake Forest | 3-3 | 239 | | 82 | -6 | Marshall | 4-2 | 238 | | 83 | -15 | BYU | 4-2 | 237 | | 84 | -24 | Louisiana | 4-2 | 233 | | 85 | -10 | Georgia Southern | 4-2 | 231 | | 86 | +32 | FAU | 3-3 | 230 | | 87 | +5 | Buffalo | 2-5 | 227 | | T88 | +9 | Appalachian State | 3-3 | 226 | | T88 | +25 | San Jose State | 2-5 | 226 | | 90 | +14 | South Carolina | 2-4 | 225 | | 91 | +15 | Bowling Green | 3-4 | 223 | | 92 | +13 | Central Michigan | 4-3 | 221 | | 93 | +5 | Cincinnati | 2-4 | 216 | | 94 | +1 | Army | 2-4 | 214 | | T95 | -25 | Mississippi State | 3-3 | 213 | | T95 | -25 | Old Dominion | 3-3 | 213 | | T97 | -25 | Boston College | 3-3 | 212 | | T97 | +10 | Coastal Carolina | 3-3 | 212 | | T99 | -25 | Western Kentucky | 4-2 | 211 | | T99 | -21 | Massachusetts | 1-7 | 211 | | 101 | +14 | UTEP | 2-5 | 210 | | T102 | +21 | UNT | 3-3 | 209 | | T102 | -1 | FIU | 3-4 | 209 | | T102 | +12 | San Diego State | 3-4 | 209 | | 105 | -5 | UAB | 2-5 | 208 | | 106 | -28 | Northwestern | 3-3 | 207 | | T107 | -22 | USF | 3-4 | 206 | | T107 | +9 | Michigan State | 2-4 | 206 | | 109 | +28 | Rice | 3-3 | 202 | | 110 | +2 | Akron | 1-6 | 199 | | T111 | -1 | Hawaii | 2-5 | 197 | | T111 | +9 | Middle Tennessee | 2-5 | 197 | | T111 | -21 | Connecticut | 1-5 | 197 | | 114 | -7 | Western Michigan | 2-5 | 196 | | T115 | +2 | Colorado State | 3-3 | 195 | | T115 | -5 | Sam Houston | 0-6 | 195 | | 117 | -23 | Arizona State | 1-5 | 191 | | 118 | +9 | Navy | 3-3 | 188 | | T119 | +10 | Stanford | 2-4 | 183 | | T119 | -20 | Virginia | 1-5 | 183 | | 121 | -19 | Tulsa | 3-3 | 179 | | 122 | -19 | Baylor | 2-4 | 178 | | 123 | +2 | Charlotte | 1-5 | 166 | | 124 | -2 | Temple | 2-5 | 165 | | 125 | -6 | Indiana | 2-4 | 161 | | 126 | +2 | ECU | 1-5 | 156 | | 127 | -2 | New Mexico | 2-4 | 155 | | 128 | +2 | Ball State | 1-6 | 154 | | 129 | -8 | Arkansas State | 3-3 | 148 | | 130 | +3 | UL Monroe | 2-4 | 143 | | 131 | -7 | Southern Mississippi | 1-5 | 142 | | 132 | - | Kent State | 1-6 | 135 | | 133 | -2 | Nevada | 0-6 | 134 |

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merikus 4 points 3 years ago

Notre at #2. Very spicy, I like it.

I think they’re a lot better than most people give them credit for. I also think Georgia is nowhere near as good as it ranks nationally—I think your #6 makes sense here.

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ToasterOverlord 3 points 3 years ago

Yeah, ND has played a whopping 8 games which definitely skews the data. If you average it down to 7 games played, they would be about 12th and if you bring them to 6 it puts them about 24th. I think if I were doing this by eye test, I'd have them somewhere in the 10 to 15 range.

Georgia at 6 finally feels like the computer finally placed them in the right spot (early in the season it had them at 1 and at one point as low as 24, I think). I probably would rather see Washington ahead of them rather than USC, though.

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merikus 2 points 3 years ago

I’m curious about your computer poll. How did you set it up?

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ToasterOverlord 4 points 3 years ago

I described it a bit in this comment. There's also some pre-season expectations that get factored in for the first 4 weeks and then it stands on its own in week 5.

I feel like mid-season it can be kind of weird, but it usually feels right at the end each year. For example, in this post I included a screenshot of my top 40 at the end of last season.

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g0d0fm15ch13f 4 points 3 years ago

who tf we gotta beat to get ranked on your poll?

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ToasterOverlord 4 points 3 years ago

Lol. Beat (highly) ranked teams by a lot and you'll jump up. (Beating A&M by 1 score didn't do that much.) So I'd say beat Alabama and Georgia and you're good.

In case you're really wondering why the Vols are so low: they're being dragged down by that Austin Peay game... LET'S GO PEAY!

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g0d0fm15ch13f 2 points 3 years ago

Yeah... that was not pretty. I don't really blame your model for that.

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MaroonMage 3 points 3 years ago

Beat Bama and I bet you'll get in there.

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g0d0fm15ch13f 4 points 3 years ago

Don't tempt me with a good time

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MaroonMage 3 points 3 years ago

While I appreciate you ranking my Aggies all the way up at 10, I definitely don't see how we deserve that.

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ToasterOverlord 4 points 3 years ago

Yeah, I keep wondering if I made a mistake inputting the data with y'all. It always has A&M (and Texas) really high every year even when either of us underperform (which is pretty often). It must speak to the talent on our teams due to the numbers they put up and the fact they rarely have bad losses.

Looks like your computer poll and mine are built around opposite philosophies. I think it's great the community is getting a variety of methods. And we certainly need human polls/eye tests to balance out some of the weirdness our algorithms create (like JMU in the top 10??)

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MaroonMage 4 points 3 years ago

Yeah, I think that describes A&M this season (every season?) really well: they have good talent, but they underperform. So if your algorithm is looking more at potential, recruiting ranks, stat rankings, then A&M should be good on paper. We just don't win the games.

And yes, JMU in particular has been giving me heartburn every week questioning the validity of my poll. But just to provide a comparison, the average ranking of the teams JMU has beaten is 80.0 (based on my rankings) whereas the average ranking of the teams Georgia has beaten is 99.3, so it makes sense JMU gets the higher rank for now (fun fact: Georgia has the lowest strength of schedule of all the undefeated teams, hence their low ranking). Since my system doesn't care at all about expectations/stats/brand name/eye test and is only based on comparing wins/losses, weird rankings like that will happen even though I know if JMU and Georgia played it wouldn't be close. But those oddities tend to go away as the season progresses.

Definitely agree, it's fun that everyone has a different way of slicing the rankings and everyone's poll is different. It gives us something to compare and argue about, and a lot of the fun of college football is arguing about rankings.

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TORFdot0 2 points 3 years ago

Sorry I was so late in getting my poll in. Had some issues to deal with at home (issues with my home, not my marriage haha. Water heater specifically)

I’m going to be honest it’s getting harder to rank teams after 15 every single week

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