For the life of me I can never understand how people would "bet" on something that any other person can control to make money.
Like there was one about people betting on train delays but if you were financially motivated it's possible to be an asshole and delay a train.
All of this neatly ignores the real problem with prediction markets, which is that they've already become a dependable way for scumbag politicians and bureaucrats and their relatives and cronies to turn their inside knowledge into piles of money.
As if there aren't already enough ways for those scumbags to steal from the rest of us ...
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