Didn't he ask the wrong question?

7 days ago by pelespirit to c/whitepeopletwitter

I think the question should have been, what is the probability of a bomb going off if there are 2 bombs on the plane.

jack_of_sandwich 28 points 7 days ago

Taking a bomb with you when you fly reduces your chances of blowing up on a plane because there's probably at least a 20% chance TSA will stop you before you get on the plane.

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ArmoredThirteen 8 points 7 days ago

I doubt the TSA has that high a success rate

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cheers_queers 10 points 7 days ago

it's less than 5 percent iirc

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kender242 14 points 7 days ago

Required reading for a course I took https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trust_in_Numbers

Basically, it's difficult to make numbers tell the truth, but somehow people really trust things that are quantifiable, and it's totally unwarranted.

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OpenStars 9 points 7 days ago

I mean, except, you know, for it being the very bedrock foundation for all of STEM.

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kender242 9 points 7 days ago path: 0 25268595 25270199 25270677, hotness: undefined, score: 9, children: 4
OpenStars 6 points 7 days ago

Absolutely, or rather I should say relatively.

Like "an electron can be in multiple places at once" is also a lie, except that "an electron may have multiple solutions to its waveform equation" is a better formulation of the truth.

It is not so much numbers - or at least not them only that lie - so much as that the human brain is desperate to make use of literally anything and everything it can to achieve its objectives. And numbers happen to be powerful so it loves to grab ahold of those, but it would just as readily grab ahold of a bowl of petunias as we all plummet collectively down through the gravity well of time, decrying "not again".

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We would all do well to be more skeptical of things than we are now. And not only about numbers.

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W98BSoD 3 points 7 days ago

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majster 2 points 7 days ago

Nice link!

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TheSlad 14 points 7 days ago

The right question is "what is the probability of someone else bringing a bomb on the plane", which is independent of whether or not you bring your own.

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MonkderVierte 6 points 7 days ago

I think No Game No Life explained probability theory exceedingly well.

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tiramichu 4 points 7 days ago

And now I'm sad we never got another season.

Again.

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TargaryenTKE 2 points 6 days ago

And now I gotta rewatch the one and only season we'll get for like the 8th time to remind me of what we could've had

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Siethron 2 points 6 days ago

I mean, we're getting a Psyren anime later this year, so anything is possible.

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