cross-posted from: https://piefed.social/...
cross-posted from: https://piefed.social/...
I remember hearing about it when it happened and found it hilarious. Wagner mercs realizing that papa Putin doesn't care if they die (there was some audio clip circulating). Wagner mercenaries have been known to be pretty nasty (not unique to them of course, Americans have Blackwater and its successors).
I'm pretty sure my country's then-leader was very interested but was fobbed off with a deal for cheap Russian gas, subsequently growing our industry almost fully dependent on that discounted energy. Great deal, Angela. Well done.
I hate to defend her but before the invasion of Ukraine by Russia (i.e. pre 2014), using Russian gas to soften the dependency on fascist-murica seemed like a good option.
Trump was elected in 2016. Obama was still president in 2014. While the problems with American imperialism obviously go back a very, very long way, their overt slide into fascism had not begun in 2014. If you'd tried to talk about "American Fascism" pre-2016 people would have assumed you were a very specific kind of racist who is probably deeply concerned about FEMA for vague and implausible reasons.
Ish? Personally, gamergate was my alarm bell, especially when I saw some of the stuff people were saying in the weirder corners.
The anti-war coalition that got Obama elected by giving the party a pivot from the stain of voting for Bush's wars were long accustomed to using that terminology.
It was always used for the Bush administration post 9/11.
Obama got a bit of a pause but the troop surge in 2009 really fractured that coalition.
It was during Obama's terms that criticism of policy could be automatically slapped with a racism charge, mostly due to all the overt racism being leveled at Obama at the time.
But, yeah, I don't think it was common in German or European discourse to consider America overtly fascist in 2014.
Magastan became Magastan in 2016 (2020 depending on how you look at it). But many of the country's policies were fascist long before. Not sure how you get from despising 'murica to racism though.
Meh. Germany had a good initial run of renewable energy expansion which was almost ground to a halt when this happened the first time around 2008 and Putin bought Merkel's rejection of a Ukrainian accession into NATO. It was already detrimental then if you had some foresight, and it was absolutely devastating the second time.
In 2008 Ukraine's accession into the club of war criminal monsters a.k.a. NATO was absolutely not a good idea. NATO leadership is very much responsible for the shitshow we see today and every single one of them should be hung, drawn and quartered for making world peace basically impossible. NATO was always about getting European bootlicket nations to provoke the Soviet Union, later Russia, and to slowly gain the upper hand in geopolitics.
Had NATO leaders even shown a shred of decency towards Gorbachev in the 90s, post German reunification, maybe Russian hardliners wouldn't have been able to grab power. And we might have a better world today. Fuck Putistan, but Russians as a people are no worse or better humans than the rest of us. We could peacefully coexist in harmony, but that doesn't agree well with max profits in the military industrial complex.
So....
Is the US supposed to be the world police or not?
Considering that Russia attacked them, I think any entitlements in the memorandum are null in their eyes. The agreement is effectively nullified. From what I've briefly read, the document is not forcing any party to assist Ukraine, beyond advocating for them at the UN security council.
I'd say the main difference here is that Ukraine probably wanted the "support" of the US. I think we did alright giving them access to money, weapons and training to defend themselves early on, and the major shortcoming was limiting the targets that they could strike with the weapons we sold. Turnabout is fair play, if Vlad wants to start throwing hands, he has to accept that he may get punched in the face.
No it does not. Not even a little bit.
The Budapest memorandum A) isn’t even a binding treaty. And B) only guarantees assurances from the US, UK, and Russia that they won’t invade Ukraine.
There are absolutely ZERO provisions for the US giving military defense to Ukraine in the event they are invaded.
The US and UK have upheld that. Neither have ever invaded Ukraine.
Depends on the day and personal beliefs of the person advocating for it. So, Schroedinger’s World Police. As a USian, I would prefer the EU took over the world police job. It's not worth the effort.
That is a very short-sighted view. The US' role as world police allowed it to station troops all over the world, projecting power and influence in every corner of the world. Every deal any country in the world made, always at least considered a US deal. The US was able to influence politics without actually having to flex the military muscle. They could always still do that if diplomacy didn't work. The projection of scientific and cultural power was also part of that influence.
The EU is legitimately currently trying to be the region police (not world police) as we speak. Part of that involves building up our own military industry. The US government is not happy about that, to put it mildly.
They did not choose to. The EU wasn't even a thing when the USA became the de facto world police. And after WW2 the USA was so dominant that any such attempt by Europes stronger countries would have been in vain
I mean you could replace the Stars and Stripes here with French Tricolour or Union Jack and I still think it works. The point is more that the lukewarm response to the Crimean invasion emboldened Russia into attacking mainland Ukraine.
Maybe it's a filter of my English-speaking internet circles, but I've never seen memes like this about France or the UK. So you could replace the flags... The point is that it doesn't seem to happen.
Did Ukraine ask for help?
yes
Then it's simple. The US should help Ukraine. They're being invaded and are asking for help. For the "pragmatists", any nation what helps Ukraine with have an easier time doing business with them afterwards.
The US has.
Ukraine has explicitly NOT asked for direct military assistance. They have not asked for troops or US airstrikes.
They have asked for weapons, logistics, intelligence, and ammunition. All of which have been provided by the US and European NATO nations.
It's basically Chamberlain++.
Chamberlain's appeasement for fear of kicking off WWII was bad enough, but now nuclear missiles are on the table, so there's much more fear.
There's never a good time to kick off WWIII, so most nations are going to bend over backward to not do so.
The trick is to have a US-controlled strategic interest there. See Syria, Russians attack a US-defended oilfield, Russia denies they are Russian regulars, US turn 200 of them into moist ash with artillery and JDAMs
We're not supposed to. But in the instance of Ukraine, we signed a treaty with Ukraine, Russia and ourselves that if Ukraine dismantled their nuclear weapons that the US would defend Ukraine if Russia invaded. And Russia would defend Ukraine if US invaded.
but i guess international law is nonexistant and nobody gives a damn if a country makes a promise
This was already address in another thread. Short summary...
It's not a treaty, but a memorandum, it really only "mandates" that we will support them in the UN security council, it's not enforceable, and Russia already shit all over it.
The US and other countries not protecting Ukraine sends a massive signal to everyone else that you can only depend on yourself for protection, and that means everyone needs to have WMDs. So take that how you will.
So the US should be the world police.
This is pretty much the dilemma the US government faces, right? On the one hand, the public doesn't like intervention. On the other, they can totally do it, and in many cases it will save a lot of lives, or at least seems like it will.
The new MAGA school is basically to disregard the humanity of anyone who's not a ^(white)^ American citizen, which solves it neatly. At great cost in terms of basic morality, of course. The other one was neoconservativism, where you're openly the world police. Theoretically, unilaterally disarming is also an option, but almost nobody is talking about that.
The Democrats, and blue Americans in general, have yet to pick a lane.
I'd say go for it, even with Putin's threat of nukes.
With how much Russia's oligarchy plundered their own war-chest over the years, to the point where they had to rely on Iran for weapons, I actually question if any of Russia's nukes actually work.
I wonder if dead hand* is even real at this point lol
They do expire. Problem is that there's a lot of them. Fire 100 nukes, and even if 99% fail, that's at least one mushroom cloud in the most fertile land on earth. And the ones that did expire become essentially dirty bombs.
That's pretty much why I was asking, I figured that no level of neglect would make one of these not dangerous. Which also makes it pretty clear that someone who's so comfortable with their use is likely confident that they would not be victims of that use.
Neglect measured on the scale of centuries might make them effectively safe...you need to have all the conventional explosives in the implosion shell fail to explode. If some of them fail, you likely won't reach criticality in the warhead itself, in which case you just detonated a regular bomb that had enriched uranium shrapnel.
That being said, most modern explosives become less stable and more sensitive over time, not inert. So the implosion timing is gonna be off, which means no criticality. Just spreading radioactive material.
Honestly mostly just the latter. Was joking that they would've maintained them so badly that none of the nukes would make it out of their silos, even if they were still capable of detonation.
While I was aware the warheads require maintainance, @impairedimperator@lemmy.zip definitely said it better than I could.
I remember that time. Putin said that the Russian Army had not invaded Ukraine, not that there weren't Russian troops there. There were plenty of Russian military members who took a leave of absence to help restore democracy in Ukraine after the Euromaidan riots threatened the elected government into resigning. That was the official Russian position.
They do have mineral reserves and if the US threw their weight into supporting Ukraine, their businesses would be very willing to work with the US. Even from a self benefiting, pragmatic perspective, the US should be supporting them.
That's why I'm so confused about the lukewarm support. From a purely capitalist lens, Ukraine could have been exploited to hell and back once Russia was BTFOd. But now they're looking at a decades long demining operation which is gonna hurt the exploitation effort bottom line billionaires pockets uhhhhh something.
We were pretty much onboard with helping Ukraine, and were providing intelligence and selling them arms.
But Trump is totally a Russian asset, or was at the time. (Russia spent a lot of resources and manpower on Trump's 2016 campaign.) Nowadays, Trump might be catching on that Putin has absolutely no respect for him.
And deny a symmetrical warfare environment to develop the next generation of drones? Never!
Raytheon's index price wasn't even $70 in 2014!
Well not for Ukraine that's for fucking sure.
this is a reference to the Battle of Conoco Fields.
This would only happen if it was in Israel's interest.
It's worth noting that in the 1990's while the rest of easter EUR, particularly PO, RO, and CZ tweaked their economies and societies in whatever way was necessary at the time in order to get their asses into NATO and the EU, Ukraine spent 30 years dawdling, unsure if they wanted to face east or west. Shame on them for that. They created their own monster by being irresolute, unlike the Poles and Romanians who also HATE Russia, know history, in some respects share a common history with all of eastern EUR, and see very clearly. A fair amount of UKR's indecision was due to Russian meddling in politics there, but by the time UKR woke the fuck up about Russia's nature and intentions it was almost too late. That timeline takes us to the year 2022, approximately. UKR is still corrupt as fuck, nobody knows who can be trusted and they are putting tremendous effort into reforming their legal system, politics and military structures to conform with EU/NATO norms. If they had been this decided (instead of divided) back in 2014, they'd have been in the EU AND NATO by now. They are paying the price for their dawdling and indecision, fuelled mainly by post-soviet corruption mentality which they are rueing and repenting of almost too late..
I say this as someone who actually supports Ukraine. But I am not blind to their faults, either.
Don't take this the wrong way but as someone who has lived and worked in many of the countries you mentioned - you're full of s**t and your hyper-simplified version of history is as cute as it is cartoonish.
well maybe you can enlighten us all with some of your insights if you know so much about these things.
that's a lot more work than calling people names. you down?
Your generalizations and reductionism is so over the top and absurd, I wouldn't even know where to begin or what the point would be. It's not hard to tell that you're just regurgitating bits and pieces and are not actually familiar with the history (not to mention the historiography) of that part of the world. The tale of Ukraine (and the former Soviet bloc more generally) after 1990 is not a simple one to tell, contrary to what you think and wrote here.
I'm not here to educate you - you need to learn to do that yourself. All I am saying is that you're wrong and need to research the issue much further in order to gain a good understanding of the topic you're trying to engage in.
Am I wrong in my assessment? Well, there's only one reasonable way to find out. Good luck!
Bruh Ukraine is no more corrupt than Romania/Hungary/Bulgaria. Even during the war civil society was able to defend anticorruption institutions.
The decision not to take Ukraine into EU/NATO is purely based on politics - specifically being afraid of russia.
there was a 20 year window where RU was to weak to threaten anybody with any thing. That would have been the time, if UKR had seen the opportunity like the Poles, Czechs, Slovaks, and Romanians did. A costly mistake.
Well they had the downside of the russian army being at their borders and a massive russian speaking minority ...
this is also true. but they also lacked direction and a national sense of self.. right up until the last minute when Russia was about to swallow them and the jaws were closing. If they had that sense 10 or 20 years earlier they'de be in a different situation. Russia's actions are Russian/Commie imperialism 101.. take an ethnically or politically divided state and invade it. slowly. Maybe UKR will be better as a divided state. For some bizarre reason, the further south and east you go in EUR the more the Slavs in those regions love their mono-ethnic states, for some reason. Even to the degree of cutting off their noses to spite their faces. Something fundamentally warped about the Slavic mind.
The palestinians also did not have a national sense of self untill they were occupied for the better half of a century ... The german national identity needed Napoleon to really take of (and many more work Like that )
And 'mono ethnic states' was bog standart for emerging nationalnstates - it just took some.places longer to create a national state and the according nationalism - hardly anything specific about 'the slavic mind'
Definitely not the Azov nazi scum trying to invade the east and south in 2014.
Besides isn't 2022 your Oct 7 and nothing before that happened and they got attacked unprovoked?
Get your US nazi imperialist BS straight.

Low IQ.
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this happened once in syria https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Khasham
save